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What happens when algorithms predict the future?

January 8, 2020

More data and better algorithms: predictions are becoming increasingly more accurate and this is changing insurance policies, medicine,…
Words matter: Earnings call language foreshadows credit risk, study finds

October 15, 2019

From officials’ mouths come words that predict bankruptcy, interest spread and more. Using an analysis of thousands of…
Better power law that predicts earthquakes, blood vessels, bank accounts

April 29, 2019

Giant earthquakes and extreme wealth may not appear to have much in common, but the frequency with which…
Can the laws of physics untangle traffic jams, stock markets, and other complex systems?

March 26, 2019

In 1998 former tech consultant Hank Eskin launched a campaign to track dollar bills. Through the “Where’s George?”…
Phone to farmer: Fungus on the way, time to spray

December 27, 2018

The struggle against plant disease will never end, but farmers can now get a boost from big data,…
Will algorithms predict your future?

November 22, 2018

The study, Data Scores as Governance, represents the culmination of a year-long research project compiled by the School of…
The Future Is Bright For Hoverboard Technology Applications

September 7, 2018

It all started with Marty McFly in Back To The Future II. That’s when we saw the possibilities…
Smartphones May Be Used to Better Predict the Weather

August 31, 2018

Flash floods occur with little warning. Earlier this year, a flash flood that struck Ellicott City, MD, demolished…
New Predictive Policing Algorithm could Predict Crime Hotspots in Real-Time

July 25, 2018

With police departments around the world stretching their budgets thinner almost every year, research in the area of…
Scientists described the movies that earn the biggest profits

July 25, 2018

Making movies is as much of an art form as it is a business. Movies have to make…
IARPA Mercury Challenge

July 3, 2018

In an effort to provide early warning capabilities, the U.S. Department of Defense’s Integrated Crisis Early Warning System…
The Minds of the New Machines – Machine Learning at Georgia Tech

March 12, 2018

Machine learning has been around for decades, but the advent of big data and more powerful computers has…
Geopolitical Forecasting (GF) Challenge

February 12, 2018

Can you create a method to predict future geopolitical outcomes that is better than current state-of-the-art methods? Decision…
Metaculus: a prediction website with an eye on science and technology

November 3, 2016

“Metaculus” things happen when you gather a wealth of well-reasoned scientific opinion and point it at the future.…
Artificial intelligence will predict prices of fine wines with unprecedented accuracy

August 7, 2015

Scientists have to tackle all kinds of different problems. Not all of them look important for everyone, but…
Power grid forecasting tool reduces costly errors

August 4, 2015

Accurately forecasting future electricity needs is tricky, with sudden weather changes and other variables impacting projections minute by…
Predicting the shape of river deltas

July 23, 2015

The Mississippi River delta is a rich ecosystem of barrier islands, estuaries, and wetlands that’s home to a…
Computers predict effects of chemicals on human health

June 30, 2015

Computer models can group chemicals according to their health effects and can contribute to calculating and predicting cocktail…
CHIKV Challenge Announces Winners, Progress toward Forecasting the Spread of Infectious Diseases

June 2, 2015

The chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is quickly spreading through the Western Hemisphere; as of May 15, 2015, the Pan-American…
Better predicting flu outbreaks with Wikipedia

May 19, 2015

Scientists at Los Alamos National Laboratory have the ability to forecast the upcoming flu season and other infectious…
Mathematics reduces risk of train collision

May 19, 2015

“The train is delayed due to a signal fault.” Not what you want to hear when waiting for…
New trigger for volcanic eruptions discovered using jelly and lasers

May 15, 2015

Scientists have made an important step towards understanding how volcanic eruptions happen, after identifying a previously unrecognised potential…
Mathematical Model Predicts Optimal Use of Antibiotics

May 15, 2015

A new mathematical model developed by a team of scientists led by the Yale School of Public Health…
Earthquakes expose limits of scientific predictions

May 9, 2015

In 2012, six Italian seismologists were sent to prison because they failed to predict the 2009 L’Aquila 6.3…
From Texas to Maine, NOAA’s expanded flood information tool promotes resilience

April 22, 2015

A NOAA flood exposure risk mapping tool that was developed in New York, New Jersey, Delaware and Pennsylvania…
New method uses patent data to estimate a technology’s future rate of improvement

April 16, 2015

How fast is online learning evolving? Are wind turbines a promising investment? And how long before a cheap…
How Twitter Can Help Predict Emergency Room Visits

April 15, 2015

A UA-led team of researchers created a model that was able to predict with 75 percent accuracy how…
Novel method projects growth potential of new firms

February 6, 2015

New businesses spring up all the time in the U.S. But which ones have the greatest ability to…
How forecasts of political events can be improved?

January 21, 2015

Niels Bohr once said that ”Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Bohr probably was…
Predicting Hostile Intents using Artificial Neural Networks

January 8, 2015

The problem of identifying suspicious behavior becomes more important almost on a daily basis. We would certainly like…
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